Social video platforms now consume more entertainment time than streaming services among consumers under 35, and the gap is widening. That is the headline finding from the 2026 Digital Media Trends survey, which tracked how 3,595 US consumers allocate their daily six hours of media and entertainment.
56% of Gen Z and 43% of millennials say social media content is more relevant to them than traditional TV shows and movies.
52% of fans discover new content primarily through social platforms, rising to 73% among Gen Z.
The data behind the shift
The average US household now spends $69 per month on streaming subscriptions, flat year-over-year. Meanwhile, ad-supported tiers have jumped from under 50% adoption to 68% in two years, reflecting a trade-off consumers are increasingly willing to make. But the real competition is not between Netflix and Disney+. It is between every streaming service collectively and the social video ecosystem that delivers free, algorithmically optimized content at zero marginal cost to the viewer.
Survey data shows that consumers who identify as "fans" of a show, artist, or franchise, roughly 80% of respondents, spend $71 per month on streaming, 27% more than non-fans. Yet even these high-value users are spending more of their entertainment time on social platforms. Fans use an average of six social networks; non-fans use four. And 46% of fans actively seek out fandom-related content from social media creators.
The implication for investors and media executives is structural, not cyclical. Social platforms are not merely a distribution channel for studio content. They are becoming the primary interface for entertainment discovery, with discovery increasingly decoupled from consumption. Deloitte reports that 44% of fans discover content on social platforms and then go elsewhere to watch or purchase the full experience. This creates a new bottleneck: the platforms that control discovery capture a growing share of advertising revenue without bearing content production costs.
Gen Z social media time advantage
Gen Z consumers spend 50 minutes more per day on social platforms than the average user, while cutting TV and movie time by 44 minutes. · Deloitte Digital Media Trends, 2026
How streamers are fighting back
Streaming services are not ceding the discovery layer without a fight. Netflix launched a TikTok-like feed in its mobile app in early 2026, surfacing short clips from its library to drive engagement between binges. Disney+ is testing a similar feature, while YouTube has invested heavily in its own creator monetization tools to keep top talent from migrating exclusively to TikTok and Instagram.
The strategy has a common logic: keep users inside the app by making the platform itself a discovery engine, rather than relying on external social feeds to drive traffic. It is a direct response to the 44% of fans who currently discover content on social platforms and watch elsewhere.
Amazon Prime Video has taken a different approach, embedding shoppable moments directly into content through its Shop the Show feature. Early data suggests the feature drives measurable conversion, though it remains a small fraction of total view time.
The economic math is straightforward. Streaming services spend an estimated $200 billion combined on content in 2026. Every minute a subscriber watches content discovered within the platform is a minute where that investment generates direct returns. Every minute lost to external discovery channels is a minute where the streaming service pays production costs while social platforms capture the ad revenue from the discovery moment.
Why social platforms win
Three structural advantages explain the shift. First, recommendation engines on TikTok, Instagram, and YouTube now outperform streaming services at surfacing relevant content. Among Gen Z and millennials surveyed, a majority said social platforms give them better TV and movie recommendations than streaming services do. Second, the ad-tech infrastructure of social platforms is more mature: 54% of younger consumers say social media ads are more relevant to them than ads on streaming video or cable TV. Third, the creator economy supplies an endless feed of content at near-zero production cost to the platform.
The 2025 Digital Media Trends report had already flagged this trajectory, describing social video platforms as "hyperscale and hyper-capitalized." The 2026 data confirms that the trend has accelerated. What was a warning has become the baseline.
The numbers tell the story. In 2025, over half of US digital ad spending went to social platforms. Search advertising, once the dominant category, is being reshaped by AI-generated answers that reduce click-through rates to publisher sites. the report predicts that AI-crafted search summaries will become the default interface, further compressing the referral traffic that traditional media companies depend on.
What the forecast looks like
The trajectory points to continued divergence. Traditional media companies that own premium IP, franchises, sports rights, tentpole events, will retain pricing power and audience attention for those specific assets. But the commodity layers of media production and distribution will keep shifting toward platform-native formats.
Probability: 65%, based on the compound effect of better recommendations, creator supply growth, and ad-tech advantage that survey data documents across two consecutive survey years
✅ Arguments for
Social platforms invest more in AI recommendations than streaming services; the capability gap widens.
Creator supply is elastic and global; studio supply is capital-constrained and concentrated.
Confirmation criteria: Ad spend share crossing 65% for social platforms by 2028, and a second consecutive year of streaming churn above 40%.
❌ Arguments against
Regulatory pressure on social platforms in EU and US may limit data-driven recommendation advantages.
Streaming services are improving their own recommendation systems and investing in creator partnerships.
Disconfirmation criteria: Streaming churn drops below 30% for two consecutive years, or social platform ad revenue growth decelerates below 10% annually.
Streaming churn rate, currently 41%, direction matters more than level
Share of ad spend going to social platforms, crossed 50% in 2025
AI recommendation quality gap between platforms and streamers
Creator revenue share, if platforms increase payouts, supply accelerates further
Three scenarios for media in 2028
🟢 Optimistic scenario (25%)
Implications: Media stocks re-rate upward as revenue diversification improves margins.
🟡 Base-case scenario (50%)
Implications: Valuation dispersion increases, IP owners trade at premium, commodity content producers at discount.
🔴 Pessimistic scenario (25%)
Implications: Downward pressure on valuations across the media sector; consolidation accelerates.